Frontier Markets: Small, Concentrated & Misunderstood (Financial Advisor)

A recent lengthy article in Financial Advisor noted the growing popularity of the frontier markets asset class but also pointed out that two key aspects of the space (measured or categorized by the MSCI Frontier Market Index) are often overlooked or not properly understood by investors:

  1. The number of frontier market stocks is extremely limited, as is the amount of market capitalization available. In fact and while emerging markets make up more than 10% of the world’s stock markets, frontier market stocks make up just 0.3% or a mere 128 stocks with a median market cap of $424 million and just $100 billion in combined total market capitalization. On the other hand, the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index consists of 1,975 US securities with a total market cap of $1.8 trillion and a median market cap of $729 million at the end of last year.

EmergingMarketSkeptic.com - Size of stock markets, as measured by MSCI Indexes

  1.  The universe of assets has historically been very concentrated in a handful of countries. The recent migration of the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, two of the largest and best-performing countries (that are also oil dependent), out of the frontier markets category and into the emerging market group has exacerbated the concentration issue. Moreover, their removal changes the historical return patterns and liquidity characteristics of frontier markets to such an extent that there may now be a misleading picture of future prospects. Problems remain as the two largest countries have represented over one-third of the frontier markets index and the largest five countries have made up roughly two-thirds.

EmergingMarketSkeptic.com - MSCI Frontier Market Index Weights as of December 31, 2013 & 2014

To read the whole article, Frontier Markets: Concentrated And Misunderstood, go to the website of Financial Advisor. In addition, see: Better Investing Strategy: Blend Emerging & Frontier Markets (Financial Advisor)

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