AmCham China’s 2014 Business Climate Survey is making waves in China as companies surveyed said they feel unfairly targeted by China’s opaque laws on issues such as antitrust enforcement, IT security, food safety and other regulations that lack transparency. Highlights compiled from various third party sources from the survey of AmCham China members include:
- 49% of respondents said in a new question on the 16th annual survey that they believe foreign firms are being singled out in China for attacks.
- Around 60% of US firms in China feel less welcome than before and 29% say they feel no change.
- Only 9% say they feel more welcome in China.
- Around 27% of respondents said they would not expand in China, up from 16% in last year’s survey.
- A third of respondents said they’re planning on increasing their investment in China by 10% or less this year.
- Only 23% said their revenues from China rose substantially, down from 30 per cent in 2013 – a decrease from 30% who reported a sizable sales increase in 2013 and 41% who said the same for 2012.
- About 18% of companies reported a drop in their China-based revenues in 2014 – more than double the share two years earlier.
- 14% of firms relocated some or all of their operations away from mainland China this year, up from 11% in 2013.
AmCham China Chairman Gregory Gilligan was quoted in a press release about the survey as saying:
“As China’s economy rebalances from a state-led model based on exports and investment to a market-led model based on services and consumption, a difficult transition is to be expected for all private sector companies in China. Today’s update on our view of the investment environment, combined with what we are hearing from our members, demonstrates that the transition is indeed disruptive, perhaps more so for foreign companies, and progress on reform has been disappointingly slow.”
“Since we analyzed the investment environment last year, there have been many encouraging promises of reform, but the environment for many foreign companies has nevertheless deteriorated. While we still believe in China’s ability to make the changes necessary to transition to the next stage of development, delays and disruptions are leading foreign investors to alter their perceptions of the China market in fundamental ways.”
“Our members have been and remain enthusiastic supporters of China’s integration into the global economy, but sadly this survey suggests that their positive sentiment is eroding. Our concern is that if the investment environment deteriorates too far, important relationships and linkages between China and the rest of the world will be materially damaged, seriously impairing China’s ability to attract the investment that will be crucial in taking the country to the next stage of economic development.”
“We still believe that China’s economy will emerge from this difficult period stronger than before, and US companies in particular have a great deal to offer in the services sector so crucial to the economy’s transformation. We will be closely watching the upcoming Fourth Plenum, and hope to see concrete moves toward creating a society based on the rule of law, rather than rule by law.”
Chinese authorities are launching anti-trust probes which have singled out large Western companies, including Microsoft, Qualcomm, Audi, BMW AG and many others. Foreign car makers in particular, including Mercedes Benz and Audi, 12 Japanese car-parts suppliers, as well as chipmaker Qualcomm, have been under antitrust scrutiny or have been punished.
There is a press release entitled, AmCham China Supports Reform Agenda, Increasingly Concerned About Fairness, which summarizes some of the survey results.
- China’s New Rich Distrusts Financial Advisers (The Asset)
- Emerging Markets in the East Converging With Developed Markets in the West (Create Research)
- “Confidence Shaken:” US Firms In China Look Elsewhere As ‘Friendshoring’ Gathers Steam (Zero Hedge)
- BlackRock’s Swann: Look at the China Slowdown in a Long Term Context (FE Trustnet)
- 2022 Outlook Report: China’s New Roar in the Year of the Tiger (KraneShares)
- China’s Year of the Dog Bounds Into View (Allianz Global Investors)
- Beijing’s Regulatory Crackdown Is Unlikely to End Any Time Soon (CIGI)
- Trade War Steers Chinese Investment Toward Southeast Asia (Nikkei Asian Review)
- EM Push & Pull: As China Rises, Competition for Capital Heats Up (Aviva Investors)
- China is a Minefield for International Creditors (Washington Examiner)
- China Scrambles to Stem Manufacturing Exodus as 50 Companies Leave (Nikkei Asian Review)
- 87% in China & 80% in India Say Their Economies Are Good (Pew)
- Term Three for Xi: Chinese Stocks are a No-Go (Tip Ranks)
- China’s $246B Foreign M&A Buying Spree Is Slowing (Bloomberg)
- China Offers Tax Incentives to Persuade U.S. Companies to Stay (NYT)