Tag Archives: China

CMBI Research Focus List of China Stock Picks (May 2023)

CMB International Capital Corporation is a wholly owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank (HKG: 3968 / SHA: 600036 / OTCMKTS: CIHKY / OTCMKTS: CIHHF) – one of the largest banking groups and the largest privately-owned bank in China. They come out with (and post on their website) a monthly list … Continue reading

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Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SHA: 688981 / HKG: 0981 / FRA: MKN2): China’s Most Important Chipmaker

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) (SHA: 688981 / HKG: 0981 / FRA: MKN2) is considered to be China’s most important chipmaker but its origins lay with stolen TSMC technology.

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NAURA Technology Group (SHE: 002371): A Potential US-China Chip Conflict Beneficiary

NAURA Technology Group (SHE: 002371) is a Chinese manufacturer of integrated circuit and semiconductor equipment who benefits from the US-China chip conflict.

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Hua Hong Semiconductor (HKG: 1347 / FRA: 1HH / OTCMKTS: HHUSF): Plans a $2.6B Shanghai Share Sale to Fuel Expansion

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Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (SHA: 688012): China’s #2 Chip Tool Maker

Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment (AMEC) (SHA: 688012) is China’s No. 2 manufacturer of chip making tools and a producer of etching devices who benefits from the US-China chip war.

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Legend Biotech (NASDAQ: LEGN): The J&J Partner Recently Surged on Leaked Data About It’s Multiple Myeloma Treatment

China-USA based Legend Biotech (NASDAQ: LEGN) is a developer of commercial-stage biotech medicines partnered with J&J. A May 16th Nikkei Asia and FT article noted the Company had told them how concerns about the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA) had prompted them to shift its … Continue reading

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ACM Research (NASDAQ: ACMR): Successfully Straddling the US-China Chip Conflict (So Far…)

Silicon Valley and China based ACM Research (NASDAQ: ACMR) is a leading supplier of wafer processing solutions for semiconductor and advanced wafer-level packaging (WLP) applications. A May 16th Nikkei Asia and FT article noted the Company switched its accounting work to Armanino in San Ramon, California, … Continue reading

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Mercurity Fintech Holdings (NASDAQ: MFH): Speculative Chinese Fintech, Blockchain and Bitcoin Stock

Mercurity Fintech Holdings (NASDAQ: MFH) is a speculative Chinese fintech and blockchain stock. A May 16th Nikkei Asia and FT article noted the Company switched from auditor Shanghai Perfect to Onestop Assurance PAC of Singapore as the latter is registered with the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB) and has been inspected … Continue reading

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Fangdd Network (NASDAQ: DUO): Can the Online Marketplace Ride Out the Chinese Property Downturn?

Chinese online real estate marketplace Fangdd Network (NASDAQ: DUO) said in its annual report that on July 25, 2022, the Company switched auditors to the Audit Alliance of Singapore from KPMG Huazhen – one of the companies recently criticized by the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (PCAOB). The move … Continue reading

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EV Battery Maker Market Share Chart & Stock List (China, Japan & South Korea Stocks)

Chart of the Day: China’s battery makers carve out growing share in overseas markets (Caixin) $ (NOTE: Also see Top 10 Chinese Automakers By Electric Vehicle Sales Stock List & Graphic) South Korea Note: We have covered these South Korean battery stocks … Continue reading

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Top 10 Chinese Automakers By Electric Vehicle Sales Stock List & Graphic

SOURCE: China’s EV industry braced for shakeout as prices plunge (FT + Asian Nikkei) (Local players face softer demand and competition from foreign makers) BYD Company (HKG: 1211 / SHE: 002594 / OTCMKTS: BYDDY / BYDDF) SAIC Motor Corp (SHA: 600104) Guangzhou Automobile Group (SHA: 601238) Chongqing Changan Automobile (SHE: 000625 / SHE: 200625) Dongfeng Motor (state-owned) Geely Automobile Holdings (HKG: 0175) Li … Continue reading

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China Overseas Land & Investment (HKG: 0688 / OTCMKTS: CAOVF): A Value Stock Building Momentum?

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ZJLD Group (HKG: 6979): IPO of the First Baijiu Maker to List Outside of China Flops

In late April, baijiu liquor maker ZJLD Group (HKG: 6979) was the biggest Hong Kong IPO of the year (and the first baijiu to list outside of China) and it flopped: [Also see: Kweichow Moutai (SHA: 600519): China’s Communist Spirit and Most Valuable Company] With … Continue reading

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Kweichow Moutai (SHA: 600519): China’s Communist Spirit and Most Valuable Company

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Shanghai Putailai New Energy Tech (SHA: 603659): Financing Europe’s Biggest Anode Plant in Sweden for EV Batteries

Shanghai Putailai New Energy Tech (SHA: 603659) is focused on the development and sale of materials for lithium-ion batteries and automation equipment in China. It was just reported today: However, the Company will fund 30% of the project and take out loans for … Continue reading

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Shanghai Milkground Food Tech (SHA: 600882): A Cheese Darkhorse Hit by Peak Cheese Lollipop as Chinese Consumers Tighten Belts

Chinese dairy stock and homegrown cheesemaker Shanghai Milkground Food Tech (SHA: 600882) has been described as a dark horse in China’s cheese product market. However, the Financial Times has recently reported: Goldman Sachs loses taste for China’s cheese lollipops (Demand for flavoured snack expected to weaken … Continue reading

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GF Securities (HKG: 1776 / SHE: 000776 / FRA: 9GF): A Value Stock After Recent Scandals & Crackdowns?

GF Securities (HKG: 1776 / SHE: 000776 / FRA: 9GF) is a diversified investment management and brokerage group that’s also the latest brokerage to be investigated by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) amid the full roll-out of a registration-based IPO system. The stock suffered another underwriting scandal a … Continue reading

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Noah Holdings (NYSE: NOAH): A Chinese Wealth Management Firm Facing a “Crisis of Confidence” in the Sector

Noah Holdings Limited (NYSE: NOAH / HKEX: 6686) is a leading and pioneer wealth management service provider in China offering comprehensive one-stop advisory services on global investment and asset allocation primarily for high net worth investors. However, FT just republished a Nikkei Asia article entitled, China’s wealth management … Continue reading

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Gotion High-tech Co (SHE: 002074 / FRA: 24U0): The EV Battery Maker Causing a Stir in Michigan

Gotion High-tech Co (SHE: 002074 / FRA: 24U0) researches, develops, manufactures and markets lithium EV batteries with Volkswagen owning a 30% stake. With plans to expand a China-only operation globally, Gotion High-tech’s subsidiary recently made negative headlines in the USA: OVERVIEW: 1 YEAR CHART: LONG TERM CHART: ADDITIONAL … Continue reading

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NetDragon Websoft (HKG: 0777 / FRA: 3ND): First Stock to Try the AI-CEO Gimmick (Ahead of a NYSE Spinoff-Listing)

Last August, online gaming and education stock NetDragon Websoft (HKG: 0777 / FRA: 3ND) appointed Ms. Tang Yu, an AI-powered virtual humanoid robot, as the Rotating CEO of its flagship subsidiary, Fujian NetDragon Websoft Co., Ltd. Obviously, the attention grabbing PR stunt got some investor, media (Should we … Continue reading

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MINISO Group Holding (NYSE: MNSO): Asia’s Notorious Copycat Retailer

Lifestyle products retailer MINISO Group Holding (NYSE: MNSO) copied Japanese retail chains or brands Uniqlo, Muji and Daiso – and have arguably done it better than the originals. OVERVIEW: Rather than operate an independent network of franchisees, our seven-month investigation of Chinese corporate records and store level data indicates, … Continue reading

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Bairong Inc (HKG: 6608 / FRA: 6B5): AI/Digital Transformation Services for Chinese Banks

Small cap Bairong Inc (HKG: 6608 / FRA: 6B5) provides AI and digital intelligence and digital transformation services to Chinese banks (for security, credit evaluation, etc. purposes): OVERVIEW: 1 YEAR CHART: LONG TERM CHART: ADDITIONAL RESOURCES: Share Subscribe Now Via Substack Disclaimer. The information and views contained … Continue reading

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Is China Still Uninvestable? A Conversation with Navis Jockey Fund (SumZero)

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Why Tencent’s Golden Share Arrangements Could Be Worse for Investors Than Alibaba’s (China Tech Shorts)

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Five Takes on Multi-asset Investing in Post-Pandemic China (Schroders)

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Alibaba’s Spinoffs: More Clarity, More Complexity (China Tech Shorts)

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Alibaba Reorg (Interconnected)

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START not FAANG (GAM)

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Lalatech, the Start-up Behind Lalamove Logistics Service, Files for Hong Kong IPO After Turning its Back on New York (SCMP)

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Shanghai Exchange Scraps Meeting for Syngenta’s US$9.5 Billion IPO, Disrupting Plans for World’s Biggest Offering of 2023 (SCMP)

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Luckin Coffee is Launching in Singapore, Will it Do Well? (Momentum Asia)

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RESTRICT China (Interconnected Substack)

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Why Chinese Apps Are the Favorites of Young Americans (WSJ)

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Pinduoduo Research Report (Hayden Capital)

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Countries Compete to Lure Manufacturers From China (WSJ)

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Beijing’s Regulatory Crackdown Is Unlikely to End Any Time Soon (CIGI)

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Back on the Ground in China: 8 Anecdotes From our First Post-Covid Visit (Arisaug Partners)

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It’s Time for Investors to Reevaluate Their China Exposures (Investments & Wealth Monitor)

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Should We Automate the CEO? (theHUSTLE)

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Swire Pacific Limited: Another Hong Kong Based SWAN Stock (Seeking Alpha)

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Swire Back To Buying Back – One-Third To Go (Smart Karma)

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[JD.com (JD US) Target Price Change]: Painful Transition Weighs on Both Topline and Margin (Smart Karma)

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Chinese Share Sales in Europe Gain Importance as Financing Tool, UBS Exec Says (CAIXIN)

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Protests Break Out As Chinese Cities Drown Under $10 Trillion In Debt, Fail To Make Payments (Zero Hedge)

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China’s Cities Struggle Under Trillions of Dollars of Debt (WSJ) 

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Silicon Valley Bank’s Troubles Threaten a Key Bridge Between Chinese Startups and U.S. Investors (The Information)

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SVB’s Debacle is Causing Panic in China’s Startup Industry (Tech Crunch)

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China’s Forex Regulator Says Offshore Remittance Policy Remains Unchanged as it Plays Down Kerfuffle Over Mobius’ ‘Can’t Get Money Out’ Claim (SCMP)

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Australia’s Wealth Fund Screens Chinese Firms at Risk of US Bans (Al Jazeera)

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Chris Wood Of Jefferies (MPP Interview) (Off-Piste Investing)

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How Did China Come to Dominate the World of Electric Cars? (MIT Technology Review)

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The Tesla Competitor Dominating China’s EV Market | U.S. vs. China (WSJ)

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China Scrambles To Save Plummeting Birth Rate With Pregnancy Perks (Zero Hedge)

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Will China Grow Old Before it Grows Rich? (Lombard Odier Investment Managers)

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As China Reopens, Flight of Wealthy Chinese to Singapore Set to Accelerate (WSJ)

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Chinese Banks Cause Alarm as Capital Flight Measures Intensify (asiaMARKETS.com)

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Mark Mobius: Be ‘Very, Very Careful’ When Investing in China (Fox Business)

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‘I Can’t Get My Money Out’: Billionaire Investor Mark Mobius Says China is Restricting Flows of Capital Out of the Country (The Insider)

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Crazy Optimism About China’s Economy (Gatestone Institute)

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US Hegemony and Its Perils (Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the People’s Republic of China)

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The Private Sector’s Share of China’s Largest Listed Companies Continued to Decline to 43 Percent in the Second Half of 2022 (PIIE)

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China’s State vs. Private Company Tracker: Which Sector Dominates? (PIIE)

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Guide to China Q1 2023 (JP Morgan AM)

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WEBINAR: Apples to Apples: Benchmarking Shopee, Grab and other major tech platforms (Momentum Academy)

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Climate and Sustainability: How Impending EU Laws on ESG Disclosures Will be a Matter of Survival for Asian Suppliers (SCMP)

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JD.com’s Asset-Heavy Model And Logistics Network To Drive Margin Expansion (Seeking Alpha) JD.com, Inc (NASDAQ: JD)

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Climate Change: Hong Kong to Pay 30 Per Cent More for ESG Jobs as Companies Fight for Talent to Meet Sustainability Targets (SCMP)

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China’s Existential Threat to Emerging Market Economies (The Emerging Markets Investor)

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Global Companies Are Committed to China (UBS AM)

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China: What Could Drive its Markets in 2023 (Capital Group)

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PE Deals in Asia-Pacific Fall in 2022 as US Investors Drop China for India (Business Standard)

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Case Study Series – Meituan: Finding Business Clarity (Momentum.Asia)

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Why China’s ‘Crazy’ Mega-rich Are Moving Their Wealth, and Partying, to Singapore (SCMP)

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Chartbook #194 Can Beijing Halt China’s Housing Avalanche? The Most Important Economic-Policy Question for 2023? (Chartbook Substack)

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China’s Structural Growth – From Opportunities to Challenges With Risks (BNP Paribas)

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China: No Longer a ‘No-Brainer,’ But Still the Best of Emerging Markets (Institutional Investor)

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The Chinese Property Market: The Most Important Industry Globally Which Few Understand (Platinum Asset Management)

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Capitalizing on USA-China Tensions (Stock Spotlight Substack)

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Forget Big Tech—Emerging Market Stocks Will be the Leaders of the Next Decade as India Takes China’s Thunder, Morgan Stanley IM Says (Fortune)

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Monthly Market Review – January 2023 (Asia Pacific) (JP Morgan AM)

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The ‘Dollar Wrecking Ball’ Got Wrecked, Why Investors Should Look ‘Outside’ the U.S. – Michael Gayed (Kitco)

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2023 China Outlook: Leaping Back to Growth Potential in The Year of The Rabbit (Krane Shares)

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Sinology: A 2023 Calendar for China’s Reopening and Recovery (The China Fund, Inc)

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Why We Shouldn’t Underestimate China’s Petro-Yuan Ambitions (Oilprice.com)

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Stay Overweight on China Stocks to Capture Upside Momentum as UBS, Deutsche Bank Back Economic Outlook (SCMP)

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The Surprising Secrets of Growth in Emerging Markets (City Wire: The Funds Fanatic Show)

NOTE: Joe Studwell interview from August. He is the author of two must-read books: Asian Godfathers: Money and Power in Hong Kong and Southeast Asia and How Asia Works. Studwell (pictured) explains how east Asian countries like Japan, South Korea … Continue reading

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LEFT TO ROT: Inside China’s Apocalyptic ‘Ghost Cities’ Where 65Million Homes Lay Deserted as Communist Party Faces Economic Chaos (The Sun)

Max Woodworth, an expert in Chinese urbanisation, said China’s developers and buyers have “tremendous faith” that the value of their property will steadily creep up – and prices won’t crash. He told Sun Online: “Even people who purchased homes in … Continue reading

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The Big Debate: ‘Is China Flashing Green? No, It’s Not’ (City Wire)

‘There’s enough murk out there. I don’t need to have that lack of clarity as well. When I look at the opportunity set, is China flashing green at me? No, it’s not,’ he said [David Coombs, manager of the multi-asset … Continue reading

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China is a Minefield for International Creditors (Washington Examiner)

The Chinese government is struggling to survive revenue shortfall when three-year-long pandemic mismanagements take a toll on its economy. There is simply no spare fund for a private company whose collapse is only a matter of time. Even if the … Continue reading

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Ivan Zuenko: Why Do China’s Elites Pay so Much Attention to the Collapse of the USSR and the Soviet Communist Party? (RT.com)

Note: An interesting read into the psyche of China’s leadership. Among the main reasons for the collapse, according to the Chinese studies, were those associated with the weakening of the party. Namely, the pervasive corruption, the detachment of the its … Continue reading

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Kyle Bass: China’s Xi Intentionally Crashing Property Market, Preparing For War (Epoch Times)

Note: “Preparing for war” might be an extreme take, but there were other good China insights in the podcast. [Kyle] Bass, founder of the asset management firm Hayman Capital and prominent China hawk, claimed the Chinese are in a financial … Continue reading

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Facing Demographic Doom, China’s Army Of Retirees Returns To Work In Post “Zero-Covid” Economic Wasteland (SCMP)

Mandatory retirement ages in China are among the world’s lowest, and experts say Beijing’s plans to revise the 70-year-old rules cannot come soon enough Demographic crisis is poised to result in a long-term decline in China’s rapidly ageing workforce, with … Continue reading

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From Hong Kong to Malaysia, Property Markets Set to Decline: IMF (Nikkei Asia)

Housing Market Stability and Affordability in Asia-Pacific (IMF) Price increases during the pandemic, underpinned by low mortgage rates as central banks eased monetary policy, are now being reversed. This creates the conditions for sizable price misalignments and a greater risk of … Continue reading

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Chart of the Day: Chinese Bourses Top IPO League Tables (Caixin)

Chart of the Day: Chinese Bourses Top IPO League Tables (Caixin) $

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Which Countries Are Most Influenced By China? (Oilprice.com)

NOTE: China’s War Against Taiwan Has Already Started (How Beijing tries to make a democracy submit without putting up a fight) in The Atlantic [Very much a US govt-foreign policy mouthpiece…] discusses the group behind the China Index. The China … Continue reading

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US Adds 36 Chinese Companies to Export Blacklist, Including Country’s Top Flash Memory Chip Maker (SCMP)

Biden administration also removed 25 Chinese firms from another trade watch list after successful end-user checks READ MORE

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Dead Sheep, Dumped Crops as China Covid Rules Hit (Bloomberg Supply Lines Newsletter)

Note: From December 2 The livestock losses and destruction of fresh produce come at a time when many in China are under lockdowns and bracing for food shortages and other supply disruptions. The added pressures threaten to drive up food costs which are already … Continue reading

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COVID Chaos Unfolds in China (SPIEGEL International)

Chinese leadership abandoned its zero-COVID strategy practically overnight. The consequences promise to be enormous. Rural areas in particular will struggle with the suddenly spiking caseload in the country. READ MORE

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Covid-weary Chinese Millionaires Eye Singapore Amid ‘Chaos and Unpredictability’ at Home (SCMP)

VIP clubs catering to Chinese are mushrooming across the city state, while Chinese foreign students are looking to stay after graduation. “A sluggish domestic market, escalating lockdowns against Covid-19, depreciating properties and the [weak] yuan are all eating away at … Continue reading

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Gold channeling East – How Much Does China Really Own? Feat. London Paul Live From The Vault -Ep103 (Kinesis Money Youtube)

Gold channeling East – How much does China really own? Feat. London Paul Live From The Vault -Ep103 (Kinesis Money Youtube) 1:14 Hours 00:00 Start  02:46 London Paul explains the “multipolar” world 07:04 The return of sound money? 14:00 What’s … Continue reading

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China Confirms It Is “Mystery” Massive Gold Buyer With First Official Purchase In 3 Years (Zero Hedge)

One month ago, we sparked a frenzy across precious metals circles when we reported that a “mystery” buyer had bought some 300 tons of gold, roughly three quarters of what would be a record 399 tons of central bank gold … Continue reading

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Sustained Growth Slowdown in China Would Spill Over to Asia-Pacific Region and Beyond (Moody’s Talk)

Emerging Markets Decoded, Deborah Tan of the Credit Strategy & Research team joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss what a sustained economic growth slowdown in China implies for the rest of the world, particularly the Asia-Pacific region and lower-income countries … Continue reading

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Emerging & Global Markets Catch Up With Reality (Krane Shares)

[NOTE: This is from mid-November – so its already dated but the points below are worth noting.] First, we have seen very little internet regulation over the summer, confirming a possible end to reforms. Second, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) … Continue reading

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Variant View: China’s Zero-COVID Policy is Dead (Asian Century Stocks Substack)

NOTE: Good objective overview of recent events in China surrounding zero-COVID and associated protests. The sectors that have suffered the most from China’s zero-COVID policy are consumer related. Consumer spending has been weak, especially regarding offline retail, restaurants and so on. … Continue reading

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Apple Plans to LEAVE China as COVID Protests Delay Production of Its Products: Tim Cook Could Move Factories to India and Vietnam After Brutal Lockdown at iPhone Plant Mean Key Deliveries Won’t Arrive in Time for Christmas (Daily Mail)

Apple has accelerated plans to move its productions outside Zhengzhou, China – where iPhone City is located – in recent weeks COVID-19 protests and wage disputes have broken out in the city, leaving Apple’s busiest time of year in shambles … Continue reading

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Apple Makes Plans to Move Production Out of China (WSJ)

Apple Makes Plans to Move Production Out of China (WSJ)

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China Reopening, Oil, and Doing Nothing (Profit Hunting Blog)

My “China reopening play” is oil.  Zero-covid reduced demand by an estimated 0.5 to 1.5m bpd.  Long term I think oil goes up anyway, but China makes me buy it now.  Bought more CNQ and Equinor in the last 2 … Continue reading

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Kiplinger’s Personal: Don’t Give Up on Developing Markets (Kiplinger’s Personal Finance)

China is by far the largest emerging market, representing about one-third of the Emerging Market Index. But its economy is suffering self-harm: a severe response to the COVID pandemic and a crackdown on technology companies, which are seen as a … Continue reading

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Foreign Investors Might Prefer China Soon as Indian Market Valuation Expensive (CNBC)

“India has always traded at a premium but this time around it has gone way beyond the normal range of about 40-60 percent,” said Pratik Gupta, CEO and Co-Head-Institutional Equities at Kotak Securities. READ MORE

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Back in Hong Kong Stocks (Turtles all the way down! Substack)

Can’t resist those juicy dividends. Of Course there is also the risk of a Taiwan invasion, but this is not 1939, there will be plenty of warnings before that happens. And what is more likely is some sort of technical … Continue reading

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With China on ‘Extended’ Path to Reopening, Emerging Market Equities Will Outperform Peers in Developed Economies, Record Double-digit Growth, Allspring Analyst Says (SCMP)

Double-digit upside is backed by better economic recovery and earnings growth into next year, portfolio manager [Allspring Global Investments] focusing on emerging market equities says. China is in a position to easily introduce more supportive economic policies and its economic … Continue reading

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Manufacturing Moving to India From China, But Trade Deficit a Concern, Says Mark Mobius (ThePrint)

Veteran investor says government’s swift actions to ease doing business in India will ensure that manufacturing remains in the country and does not shift back. READ MORE

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‘Once-in-a-lifetime Opportunity’: How a Mass Lockdown at the World’s Biggest iPhone Factory is India’s Big Chance to Beat out China as Apple’s Favorite Supplier (Fortune)

Note: See India ADRs, India ETFs and India Closed-End Funds. The consequences of China’s zero-COVID policy is an “absolute gut punch for Apple in its most important holiday quarter,” Dan Ives, managing director at investment firm Wedbush Securities, tweeted last week. “We estimate this negatively impacting roughly 3% of … Continue reading

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How China has Dragged Down Investor Returns Over the Past Decade (Forbes India)

With a cynical view of India, global investors had bet big on Chinese equities. Now, decades later, the MSCI China Index has delivered no returns, but the MSCI India Index has gained a whopping 2,000 percent. “China has increasingly started … Continue reading

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‘Just So Full of Autocracies’: For the Freedom 100 Emerging Markets ETF, Outperformance in 2022 Goes Beyond Nixing China (Market Watch)

Life + Liberty Indexes founder Perth Tolle weighs in on why emerging-markets funds that exclude China don’t go far enough, as well as on the Freedom 100 Emerging Markets ETF’s performance this year. China, Russia and Saudi Arabia are among the countries that have never been in … Continue reading

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There Are Massive, Record Breaking “Mystery Buyers” In Gold All Of A Sudden (QTR Finance Substack)

Which brings me to the latest massive canary in the coalmine for precious metals: all of a sudden we have a sovereign “mystery buyer” in the gold market. And they appear to have an insatiable appetite for the precious metal.Reuters reported this … Continue reading

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Gold Market Roiled As Mystery Buyer Waves In 300 Tonnes (Zero Hedge)

Gold Market Roiled As Mystery Buyer Waves In 300 Tonnes (Zero Hedge)

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Term Three for Xi: Chinese Stocks are a No-Go (Tip Ranks)

Bargain hunters might be tempted to look abroad and scoop up seemingly-cheap shares of private China-based businesses. The appropriate tone is concern, however, as a status-quo leader clings to power. Traders know full well that another Xi term means a … Continue reading

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Why China’s Marriage Crisis Is An Existential Threat To The Country (Epoch Times via Zero Hedge)

Behind the bombastic rhetoric, however, there lies a truly sobering fact: new policies probably won’t be enough to arrest China’s demographic decline. Here’s why.In China, a hyper-traditional society, having a child out of wedlock is still frowned upon. Childbearing and childrearing … Continue reading

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Xi’s Removal of Hu Points to ‘Common Prosperity,’ not Taiwan Invasion (Asia Nikkei)

Chinese president’s dissent-free cabinet hints at unpopular decisions ahead Why does he want a cabinet with no dissent? Some may say he is preparing to be leader for life. But China is not North Korea. It is hard for a … Continue reading

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Why China Probably Won’t Invade Taiwan (Twitter Thread)

Why China Probably Won’t Invade Taiwan (Twitter Thread)

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China’s Economy Will Not Overtake the US Until 2060, If Ever (Financial Times)

The consensus that Beijing can achieve whatever target it sets ignores the pace of slowdown in recent years  Before the 2008 crisis, China’s debts held steady at about 150 per cent of GDP; afterwards it began pumping out credit to boost … Continue reading

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“Confidence Shaken:” US Firms In China Look Elsewhere As ‘Friendshoring’ Gathers Steam (Zero Hedge)

The American Chamber of Commerce in Shanghai’s latest survey of hundreds of US firms in the Asian country found a near doubling of respondents over the past year that are cutting investment. Michael Every, the global strategist at Rabobank, recently outlined … Continue reading

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As US-China Relations Worsen, Expect Supply Chain Chaos (Freight Waves)

Leland Miller, the CEO of China Beige Book, a firm that tabulates independent Chinese economic data, said last week that the country was undergoing a “paradigm shift” in its governance and economic models that will complicate its further development, including the … Continue reading

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You Probably Own More Crashing Chinese Stocks Than You Think (Investor’s Business Daily)

“Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets (VWO), iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (IEMG), and iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) have between 25% and 33% of recent assets invested in Chinese companies,” said Todd Rosenbluth, head of research at VettaFi. “So … Continue reading

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No ‘Adults in the Room’: Xi Jinping Catches Global Investors Off Guard (FT)

Exclusion of moderates from China’s leadership spurs record stock outflows Analysts and fund managers had expected Xi to balance his seven-man leadership team by including at least a couple of moderates. Instead, it became clear that he had taken sole … Continue reading

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Meet The 7 Men Who Will Rule China (Epoch Times / ZeroHedge)

Meet The 7 Men Who Will Rule China (Epoch Times / ZeroHedge) Note: I realize Epoch Times is anti-CCP but this article sticks with the facts by giving the bios of the men.

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Outlook On Emerging Markets (Lazard AM)

The stronger US dollar, higher inflation, and tighter financial conditions weighed on emerging markets equities in the third quarter. Looking ahead, we are watching elections in Brazil and the National Communist Party Congress in China in October for signs of policy direction. We believe … Continue reading

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MOBIUS INVESTMENT TRUST: Mobius Scans Far Horizons as China Shunned – Manager Carlos Hardenberg Says he is Facing Strong Headwinds (Daily Mail)

NOTE: Mobius Investment Trust plc (“MMIT”) is a closed-ended investment company listed on the London Stock Exchange (LSE: MMIT). ‘Although Turkey is suffering from inflation in excess of 80 per cent and its economy is in poor health,’ he says, ‘the same cannot be … Continue reading

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Why China is Gaining an Edge in Emerging Markets While the West Tries to ‘Impose Hegemony on a Shoestring’ (SCMP)

Although success has been a “mixed-bag” in some markets, Chinese companies, particularly in the tech sector, have proven successful at adapting their operations to align with the development goals of emerging economies. US and European companies have not been able … Continue reading

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Economic and Finance Shake-up on China’s Central Committee Heralds New Era in Face of Global Uncertainty (SCMP)

The 20th party congress adopted development security, tech self-reliance and common prosperity as new overriding guidelines. Reshuffle follows Central Committee retirements, banking crises and Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign but scope of changes prompts uncertainty. Vice-Premier Liu He, President Xi Jinping’s top … Continue reading

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China Congress Ends As “Dictator For Life” Xi Stacks Inner Circle With Loyalists; Equity Market Implications (Zero Hedge)

As Nikkei reports, Shanghai party chief Li Qiang was the first member behind Xi to walk into a room packed with journalists, confirming his second-in-command rank and signaling that he will become the country’s next premier. The pair were followed by anti-corruption chief … Continue reading

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All the Emperor’s Men: How Xi Jinping Became China’s Unrivalled Leader — and How he Plans to Expand His Power Base (Financial Times)

For more than a decade, Xi has exploited the idiosyncratic rules and implicit conventions within the Chinese Communist party with ruthless efficiency. The highest-level political body is the standing committee. It is currently composed of seven members, but had nine … Continue reading

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Export Controls, Xi’s S&T Dreams, and “Technological Vassaldom” (ChinaTalk)

I should have made more explicit that the first dozen tweets were not my own analytical takes but rather those of @lidangzzz, a prominent tech influencer and US-based entrepreneur. Regardless of how narrowly Washington tries to draw the impact of … Continue reading

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“This Is What Annihilation Looks Like”: Biden Export Controls ‘Wreaking Havoc’ On China’s Chip Industry (Zero Hedge)

A Twitter thread translated by Rhodium Group China expert Jordan Schneider – whose blog, China Talk, can be found here, provides keen insight into the effects of the Biden administration’s new export controls on the chip industry. READ MORE

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The US Government’s New Export Controls are Wreaking Havoc on China’s Chip Industry (Twitter Thread)

THREAD: The US government’s new export controls are wreaking havoc on China’s chip industry. New rules around “US persons” are driving an “industry-wide decapitation.”

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US Citizens at Chinese Chip Firms Caught in the Middle of Tech War After New Export Restrictions (SCMP)

Washington’s latest export restrictions prohibit ‘US persons’ from supporting the ‘development or production’ of chips at targeted Chinese firms. Several C-suite executives at affected companies worked in the US semiconductor industry and gained citizenship before returning to China. According to … Continue reading

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The Chinese Market Is More Than Just Its Urban Centers (Harvard Business Review)

A key difference between these two examples was not geopolitics but their choice of market-entry strategy. Best Buy chose to concentrate on China’s wealthier but hotly contested urban centers. When AMD entered China in 2004, it focused on selling cheaper … Continue reading

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China is No Longer Just Any Emerging Market — It Has Become Its Own Beast (CNBC)

“This mood has shifted from China being one of the most attractive places to invest in the world and how much certainty there was perceived to be in policy, to the fact that the rivalry [with the U.S.] has introduced … Continue reading

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The Biggest Problem China Faces Isn’t Real Estate (The Epoch Times via Zero Hedge)

NOTE: I realize The Epoch Times is very anti-CCP, but this short piece is also worth reading. Sovereign currency policy faces the intractable dilemma of what economists call the “impossible trinity.” Countries can have a fixed exchange rate, free capital … Continue reading

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Prepare For Capital Controls – The Third Horseman Of The Unholy Trinity’s Apocalypse (FortuneAndFreedom.com)

According to an economic theory called the Unholy Trinity, governments can only ever have two of the following three things: pegged exchange rates, independent monetary policy and free capital flows. The reason why this is so is quite complicated. But … Continue reading

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Asia-Pacific Equities Wait to Emerge From the Dollar’s Shadow (Robeco)

ASEAN is well placed in general but within the region our favored countries are Vietnam and Indonesia, with a combined population of 681 million and healthy demographics promoting a high propensity to consume. Vietnam and Indonesia are benefiting from the continued trend for supply chain … Continue reading

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World Bank Cuts China Growth Forecast as COVID-19, Real-estate Crunch Take Toll (WSJ via Fox Business)

The World Bank said in its latest assessment of the developing economies of East Asia and the Pacific that it expects China to expand 2.8% in 2022. The region excluding China is expected to grow 5.3%, up sharply from the 2.6% recorded … Continue reading

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China’s $5 Trillion Rout Creates Historic Gap With Indian Stocks (Bloomberg via Business Standard)

Regardless of how the Chinese market performs, abrdn Plc.’s Kristy Fong said India’s attractiveness to global investors remains a long-term trend. “As a stock market, India is home to some of the highest quality companies in the region, with some of the … Continue reading

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Unpacking Your Portfolio’s Exposure to China (WisdomTree)

As the Chinese market continues growing, investors with broad EM exposure have been left with a 33% position in a market that has an incredible amount of both headwinds and tailwinds, making it complicated to implement their specific asset allocation … Continue reading

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Five Myths About China. And Why They Will Get Us Killed (American Mind)

Myth #1: America is making China rich, and can weaken it by reducing imports, investment, and so forth. Myth #2: China depends on stolen American technology. Myth #3: China faces demographic collapse. Myth #4: China wants to take over Taiwan … Continue reading

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Chinese Manufacturers Get Around US Tariffs With Some Help From Mexico (Bloomberg)

Although the cost of materials and labor is generally higher in Mexico than in China, the gap has been shrinking over the years, with wages in China growing at a more rapid clip. Still, countries in Asia such as Vietnam and Thailand appear to … Continue reading

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China, IMF Bailouts for Poorer States Ease Bearish Sentiment Towards Emerging Markets (SCMP)

The IMF is finalising loans to countries like Pakistan and Sri Lanka, while China is offering debt relief to 17 African countries. Their distress sagas are being recast as turnaround stories, enabling investors to dip a cautious toe back into their assets. READ MORE

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Shipping’s China syndrome: Demand Sinks Across Multiple Cargo Markets (FreightWaves)

“There’s a saying that everything that moves out of China in containers has to come into China as raw materials,” noted Oeyvind Lindeman, chief commercial officer of Navigator Gas (NYSE: NVGS), on his company’s latest conference call. The glass-half-empty view is that pullbacks in shipping … Continue reading

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China’s Economy Is Headed For One Of The Largest Meltdowns Ever (19FortyFive)

To hit the difficult-to-attain targets, ingenious bankers are lending and simultaneously allowing borrowers to deposit identical amounts with their institutions at identical interest rates. The big story is not that the Chinese economy is falling apart. It is, at least … Continue reading

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What Goes Up: China’s Employment Crisis (J Capital Research)

Western consumer goods companies with a significant presence in the country will feel the knock-on effects. High unemployment means lower income, which means less spending, which means higher unemployment. We will see tumbling sales for consumer staples companies like Coca-Cola, Unilever, Tingyi, and … Continue reading

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‘The Emperor has no Clothes.’ Why China’s Reputation for Economic Management is Coming Undone (Market Watch)

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China’s Economy Is Headed For One Of The Largest Meltdowns Ever (19FortyFive)

To hit the difficult-to-attain targets, ingenious bankers are lending and simultaneously allowing borrowers to deposit identical amounts with their institutions at identical interest rates. The big story is not that the Chinese economy is falling apart. It is, at least … Continue reading

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Russia’s Top Gold Producer Sells $670 Million of Bonds in Yuan (Caixin)

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Chinese Stocks Could Plunge by 20% if Real Estate Troubles Get Much Worse, Morgan Stanley Says (CNBC)

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Chinese Copper Giant Maike Seeks Help With Liquidity Issues (Bloomberg)

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One Of China’s Biggest Commodity Traders Faces Liquidity Crisis (Zero Hedge)

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US-China Business Council Member Survey 2022

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US Business Optimism in China Tumbles to an All-time low, With Zero-Covid and Geopolitical Tension Top Concerns (SCMP)

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Korea, Japan Companies Expanding in Vietnam (The Asset)

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What’s Going on in the Chinese Real Estate Market? (Yielddive)

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China’s Water Crisis Could Trigger Global Catastrophe (ZeroHedge)

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The Chinese Economy is Experiencing a Near-Complete Collapse (Twitter Thread)

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China’s Rocky Economy Is a Major Warning for the U.S. (InvestorPlace)

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In Depth: How Chinese Private Equity Firms Got Scammed by Their Own Sales Teams (Caixin)

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Factbox-Highlights of the U.S.-China Audit Deal (Reuters)

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China’s Power Crisis Worsens As More Factories Suspend Operations (ZeroHedge)

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China’s Trillion-Dollar Research Funds Squandered On Travel and Leisure (Epoch Times via ZeroHedge)

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Alibaba, JinkoSolar Hold Onto Investor Favor After China Stock Sell-Off (Caixin)

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Analysis: China Investors Hedge U.S. Delisting Risk With Hong Kong Play (Reuters)

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Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook for first time ever (Nikkei Asia)

Vietnam to make Apple Watch and MacBook for first time ever (Nikkei Asia) $ (Non-Paywalled) The earphones were among the first Apple products whose assembly was shifted out of China after a trade war between Washington and Beijing broke out under former U.S. … Continue reading

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Companies Draw Up Contingency Plans On Chinese Invasion Risk (ZeroHedge)

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China Is Preparing To Go To War (19fortyfive.com)

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Deglobalization Is Inflationary (Of-Two-Minds)

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The Fat Russian Lady is Getting Ready To Sing For The LBMA (GoldFix)

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Russia Proposes New Standard To Compete With RIGGED London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) (Capitalist Exploits via Zero Hedge)

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Fifty Million Empty Flats Threaten to Plunge China’s Troubled Property Market Further Into Crisis, Warns Think Tank (SCMP)

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Baby Bust: China’s Looming Demographic Disaster (Spectator)

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Five Chinese State-owned Companies to Delist from NYSE (Reuters)

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Graft Scandal Casts Long Shadow Over China’s Chipmaking Ambitions (Caixin via Straits Times)

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2022, Xi Jinping’s Annus Horribilis: Or is it? (Asia Society)

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China Unexpectedly Cuts Rates As Terrible Econ Data Confirms “Alarming” Slowdown, Yields Plunge (Zero Hedge)

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Secret to Enduring Stagflation Sends Traders to Emerging Markets (Bloomberg)

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Feed Shortage Leads To Pig Cannibalism, China’s Economy Worsens (The Epoch Times / Zero Hedge)

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China Is Pushing for a Baby Boom. It’s Getting a Baby Bust (Sixth Tone)

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Maybe Oct Before Meaningful Macau Casino Biz: JP Morgan (GGR)

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Alibaba Added to Watch List of Chinese Firms Facing Expulsion From US Exchanges, Days After Primary Listing Bid in Hong Kong (SCMP)

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“Friendshoring” Trend Sees Companies Moving Ops To Dodge Tensions And Trade Wars (Zero Hedge)

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Macau July GGR Lowest Month Since 2003 Show Govt Data (GGR Asia)

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Pelosi Is Irrelevant: China Was Already Planning An Invasion Of Taiwan (Zero Hedge)

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Kitty Special: This Month in China, July 2022 (Twitter Thread)

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Confiscation Next: China May Seize Undeveloped Land From Distressed Real Estate Companies (Zero Hedge)

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China’s Central Bank Seeks to Mobilise $148bn Bailout for Real Estate Projects (Financial Times)

China’s central bank seeks to mobilise $148bn bailout for real estate projects (Financial Times) $ (Non-Paywalled)

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China’s Housing Crisis is an Institutional Crisis (Andrew Batson’s Blog)

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Powell Pushing Asia Into a New Financial Crisis (Asia Times)

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Most Macau Casinos Reopen But Business Seen Bleak (GGRAsia)

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Interview with Herald van der Linde (Asian Century Stocks)

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Russia And China Officially Announce a “New Global Reserve Currency” (QTR’s Fringe Finance)

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The Coming Removal of the Mandate in China, Part 4: Oil (General Crisis Watch)

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