- The region’s economy will grow more slowly in 2023; recession risks are increasing.
- Lower inflation will allow central banks to begin easing monetary policy in the second half of the year.
- Solid external positions will mitigate the risk of sharp currency depreciation.
- Banking liquidity levels will decline in 2023, particularly in Argentina, Bolivia, and El Salvador.
- The resurgence of the political left will lead to higher tax burdens and expanded state-led development.
- Left-wing administrations are appointing centrist finance and economy ministers, who are gaining increased influence that provides greater economic, financial, and political stability.
- The cargo transport, extractive, and agricultural sectors face the highest disruption risks from social protests in 2023.
- Counterparty risks will increase for companies doing business with Central America.
- Efforts by multiple Latin American governments to prioritize investments in the renewable energy sector will face challenges.
- Within the process of geopolitically driven restructuring of global supply chains, Latin America presents investment opportunities. READ MORE
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