Emerging-Market Capital Outflow Risk Rises With US Dollar (Bloomberg)

• I created an External Vulnerability Measure based on the IMF’s reserve adequacy score. This version has three inputs: reserve adequacy with respect to exports, short-term debt (the latter is the Greenspan-Guidotti ratio), and the current account.
• The measure has Turkey, Chile, Hungary and Argentina as the most vulnerable to capital outflow. READ MORE

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