The dramatic 2020 US election is finally behind us, but 2021 is not lacking in global political activity of which investors should be aware. For example, the new year brought a busy docket of upcoming elections across various emerging markets (EM) countries. Figure 1 provides our EM debt team’s 2021 election calendar and assessment of the risk of populism in each case.
- Emerging Markets: Why Politics Matter in 2018 (Hermes)
- Election Results in Some Fragile Five Emerging Markets Calm Investors (Reuters)
- Latin America and the Coming Global Debt Crisis (Latin America Risk Report Substack)
- Malaysian Elections: Will The Malaysia ETF Rally or Sink?
- 2017 Global Retail Development Index (ATKearney)
- The Emerging Market Sand Trap: Financial Reports, Currency & Other Risks (Epoch Times)
- Emerging Market Companies & Governments Binge on US Dollar Debt (WSJ)
- Frontier Markets Post-pandemic (Capital Group)
- Global Emerging Markets: Country Allocation Review, H1 2021 (Federated Hermes)
- Emerging Markets Election Timetable 2014 (Aberdeen)
- Investor Sentiment Survey: What Emerging Market Investors Think (Franklin Templeton)
- Sanctions on Russia: Disruptions in Emerging Markets (Global Risk Institute)
- “Fragile Five” Emerging Markets No Longer That “Fragile” (AP)
- Peru – Points on the Political Crisis (Latin America Risk Report Substack)
- Analysis: Peru Markets Take in Political Drama as Investors Focus on Fundamentals (Reuters)